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Blog
Apple's Ad Gamble: A listening247 Deep Dive into Consumer Sentiment
Michalis Michael
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Blog
A Festive Forecast: Navigating the Upcoming Holiday Season
Christmas 2024 Trends: Social Media Insights
Kerri-Lee Godfrey & Slavica Dummer

The festive season is upon us, and Christmas 2024 promises a celebration that blends cherished traditions with fresh, modern interpretations. Using listening247’s Social Listening and Analytics, we analysed over 50,117 posts from Twitter, TikTok, and Instagram between 5th October and 8th December. Keywords such as Christmas Gifts, Secret Santa, Christmas 2024, Holiday Season 2024, Gift Ideas, Holiday Shopping, Christmas Shopping, Festive Gifts, and Holiday Gifts were used to categorise posts.

These posts shed light on the key conversation drivers and trends that brands can leverage to create unforgettable holiday experiences.

A Season of Positivity:

Holiday cheer dominates online discussions, with a significant 68% (34,358 posts) expressing positive sentiment. Neutral conversations accounted for 29% (14,384 posts), while negative posts were low at 3% (1,375 posts). This overwhelming positivity prompts brands to connect with customers through festive messaging.

Top Christmas 2024 Trends for Brands:

1. The Power of Occasions

With 36,816 mentions, occasions emerged as the leading theme this holiday season. Consumers prefer shared experiences over material gifts, marking a cultural shift towards valuing time spent with loved ones.

This trend highlights the importance of framing campaigns around moments that matter for brands. Think event-driven promotions, experiential pop-ups, or even hosting holiday workshops to tap into the emotional core of Christmas. By aligning products and services with these experiences, brands can foster a deeper connection with their audience.

2. Winter Wonderland Experiences

The allure of winter wonderlands - complete with sparkling lights, frosty landscapes, and cosy settings - is pulling audiences. This theme reflects a universal desire for escapism, nostalgia, and the joy of immersive holiday environments.

Brands can capitalise on this by transforming store displays into magical winter settings or curating themed collections inspired by the festive season. Even digital spaces can incorporate "winter wonderland" shopping experiences using AR-powered (augmented reality) winter effects.

3. The Revival of Christmas Carols

Christmas carols with traditional melodies are being offered in interactive formats like virtual sing-alongs, community carol events, and life performances. Carols act as a unifying force, bringing families and communities together during the holidays.

Brands can harness this trend by sponsoring carolling events, incorporating carol-themed marketing campaigns, or creating playlists to complement the shopping experience.

4. Elevating Customer Experience

In 2024, exceptional customer experiences are the ultimate differentiator. Shoppers seek seamless, personalised interactions at every touchpoint, from festive packaging to in-store ambience and online convenience.

This was never about selling products but building an emotional connection with the customer. Brands should focus on creating memorable experiences, such as personalised gifting services, festive loyalty rewards, or interactive in-store events that leave a lasting impression.

5. Sustainability as Tradition

Sustainability continues to shape consumer behaviour. From eco-friendly holiday decor to gifts with purpose, shoppers are drawn to brands that reflect their values. Many are engaging in charitable giving, seeking ways to give back through donations and community drives.

Brands can respond by offering sustainable products, recyclable packaging, and charity collaborations. Highlighting eco-conscious initiatives in holiday campaigns resonates with consumers and strengthens brand loyalty.

6. The Rise of Festive Travel

The season is no longer confined to a single location. Many are opting for unique travel experiences, whether snow-covered retreats or tropical getaways. At its heart, this trend revolves around the desire to connect with loved ones, bridging geographical gaps to create cherished memories.

This opens up opportunities for brands to market travel-friendly products, such as compact gifts, travel kits, or digital gifting options. Partnering with travel companies or creating holiday content tailored to travelling audiences can further amplify relevance.

What These Insights Mean for Brands

Christmas 2024 is a season of connection, creativity and purpose. Consumers are looking for experiences that resonate emotionally, whether through the carols, the escapism of winter wonderlands, or the shared joy of meaningful occasions.

The message is clear for brands: adapt to these evolving preferences by focusing on experiences, sustainability, and personalisation. With data-driven decisions, brands can create memorable and meaningful campaigns - ensuring Christmas 2024 is one to remember for customers and brands alike.

December 9, 2024
Blog
Unwrapping Black Friday 2024: What Shoppers Really Want
Black Friday 2024 Insights: Consumer Trends and Drivers

As Black Friday 2024 draws closer, retailers worldwide are gearing up for one of the busiest shopping days of the year. With billions spent in a single day, it’s an unmissable opportunity to connect with consumers, boost sales, and build brand loyalty. Thanks to listening247’s Social Listening and Analytics, we’ve uncovered the key trends and conversation drivers shaping this year’s Black Friday, helping retailers align with consumer behaviour and stand out in a crowded market.

Over 15,719 social media posts in English from platforms like Twitter, TikTok, and Instagram between 20 September and 15 November were analysed, to provide a wealth of data on what shoppers are saying, what they want, and how they feel about Black Friday 2024. Keywords such as Black Friday, Black Friday 2024, online shopping, in-store shopping, gift shopping, and Christmas shopping were used to track and categorise posts.  

Sentiment Snapshot:

The buzz around Black Friday remains overwhelmingly positive:

  • Positive mentions: 10,962 posts (70%)
  • Neutral mentions: 4,633 posts (29%)
  • Negative mentions: 124 posts (1%)

Shoppers are excited, and motivated by the promise of unbeatable deals and the chance to save on holiday purchases. Positive sentiment is around tech deals, personalised promotions, and early access discounts, while negative sentiment is minimal, often tied to delivery delays or website crashes.

Top Conversation Drivers for Black Friday 2024:

Using listening247, we identified the dominant topics shaping consumer conversations:

1. Technology – 12,881 posts: Tech products remain the crown jewel of Black Friday, accounting for nearly half of purchases. Televisions, laptops, gaming consoles, and smartwatches are the most wanted items. Major retailers like Amazon and Best Buy are expected to lead the charge with deep discounts, making this a key category for shoppers and brands.

2. Price – 9,313 posts: Pricing is a decisive factor in consumer decision-making. With financial pressures rising, shoppers are thoroughly comparing deals, looking for the best value, and waiting for Black Friday to make high-ticket purchases.

3. Discount Deal Promotions – 9,224 posts: Shoppers are actively seeking pre-Black Friday sales and exclusive member rewards. Brands offering early access or time-limited offers are seeing increased engagement, highlighting the effectiveness of targeted, exclusive promotions.

4. Gift Ideas – 7,116 posts: Black Friday is a prime moment for gift shopping. Consumers are turning to curated gift guides and social media for inspiration, with jewellery, apparel, and tech products topping the list of preferred gifts.

5. Shopping Platform – 2,094 posts: More than half of shoppers prefer online platforms to avoid crowds and enjoy convenience. Social media-driven e-commerce is particularly popular with Gen Z and Millennials, who rely on mobile-first shopping experiences.

Emerging Spending Trends:

1. Tech-Takeover: Electronics are projected to dominate Black Friday spending, driven by promotions from retailers like Walmart and Target. Smart home devices, gaming consoles, and high-end TVs are leading the wish lists. The influence of younger shoppers, particularly Gen Z and Millennials, is steering purchases online, where seamless digital experiences win the day.

2. The Power of Price: Pricing remains king. Consumers have set aside budgets specifically for Black Friday, emphasising its role as a cornerstone shopping event. The focus isn’t just on discounts but on true value, with shoppers scrutinising every deal to ensure it’s worth the spend.

3. Discount-Driven Decisions: Early-bird promotions and tiered discounts are becoming standard. Successful brands are going beyond basic sales by offering “spend-and-earn” rewards or bundling discounts to entice shoppers. This maximises short-term revenue and builds customer loyalty for future events.

4. Gifts Variety: Black Friday is the ultimate inspiration hub for gift-givers. Retailers curating well-targeted gift guides see higher engagement and conversions, as consumers look for meaningful yet budget-friendly options.

Insights for Retailers:

Black Friday 2024 provides a golden opportunity for retailers to connect with their audience through strategic pricing, tailored promotions, and a strong digital presence. Here’s how to capitalise on these insights:

  • Optimise for Online: With e-commerce dominating, ensure your website is mobile-friendly, fast, and equipped to handle surges in traffic.

  • Focus on Technology: Highlight tech deals in campaigns to capture consumer interest.

  • Offer Exclusive Discounts: Reward loyal customers with early access deals or personalised offers to increase engagement and conversions.

  • Leverage Social Media: Use platforms like TikTok and Instagram to amplify promotions and reach Gen Z and Millennials where they are most active.

Black Friday 2024 is more than just a sales event—it’s a cultural moment that reflects shifting consumer priorities and behaviours. By understanding what shoppers want, why they’re excited, and how they plan to spend, brands can tailor their strategies to exceed expectations. Thanks to listening247’s powerful analytics, retailers have the insights they need to navigate this high-stakes season and come out on top.

Let’s make this Black Friday a win for your business and your customers.

November 11, 2024
Blog
Everything in Moderation… Even Moderation
A continuum has two extremes - let’s think of them as black and white with many shades of grey in between.
Michalis A. Michael

“Pan metron ariston” (παν μέτρον άριστον) is a quote in ancient Greek which was coined by Kleovoulos o Lindios in the 6th century B.C. and means “everything in moderation”. Some believe that the original quote was “Metron Ariston” which means “moderation is best”. Whatever the quote, ancient Greeks believed that you should live your life choosing the mean and avoid the extremes on either side, as much as possible.


Talking about extremes, I have always been fascinated by continua, I think it’s because of the order they bring to chaos and complexity. Almost every ideology or idea  that matters in life, can be expressed on a continuum. A continuum has two extremes - let’s think of them as black and white with many shades of grey in between.



Here are two more official continuum definitions which are quite similar:

  1. 1. “a continuous sequence in which adjacent elements are not perceptibly different from each other, but the extremes are quite distinct.”
    (Google Dictionary)

  1. 2. “something that changes in character gradually or in very slight stages without any clear dividing points: it's not ‘left-wing or right-wing’ - political opinion is a long continuum”
    (Collins English Dictionary)

I do not consider myself qualified to improve on wisdom that transcended centuries (26 centuries since Lindios said “everything in moderation”) but I do have an opinion about quotes that include the words “everything” or “nothing”, “always” or “never”; incidentally these two pairs of opposite words can be the extremes of two continua; very few things are absolute, this is why the quote “everything in moderation... even moderation” may be just short of genius.

There is no doubt that being an extremist has mainly negative connotations: a fascist, a racist, a sexist, a religious fanatic, a communist… There are also some other examples like “feminist” or “atheist” that would create a debate with certain groups - as to whether they have negative connotations - that I am cowardly avoiding to mention at this time (see how I did this :)?).

Continua

Let’s first review a few random continua to familiarise ourselves on what they could look like, and after that we will go ahead and discuss the usefulness of looking at an issue through the lens of a continuum. Take the eating continuum below for example, isn’t it amazing how many types of diets there are? It has an impressive 13 elements in addition to the 2 extremes; a total of 15 elements. Kangatarian (I bet you can guess what these people eat :)) is the one that cracks me up with cannibal being a close second! I am also intrigued by how vegetarians managed to be the mean nowadays, they have come quite far from being an extreme in the not too distant past. And in case you are not familiar with ahimsa fruitarians, they only eat fruit that falls off a tree and they call pulling a carrot from the earth murder!

The God continuum with probabilities on God’s existence is not as harmless as the eating one; it is one that has been the basis for so many debates, civilised and uncivilised - and when I say uncivilised I mean the killing type if you think of the Crusaders (even though in their case it was more of a “my God is better than yours” rather than about its existence).

The selfishness continuum comes straight out of the Vedanta Treatise, a Hindu approach to life.

The colour coding means red is bad and green is good for most people.

Disclaimer: this does not always represent the author’s opinion. We will discuss more the groupings or segments of continua in the next chapter.

The continuum below communicates a thesis of mine that most people disagree with. I believe that being a patriot is the beginning of a proverbial “slippery slope”. It could progressively lead to someone becoming a nationalist and then a jingoist which is what you have to be to vote for Brexit or for someone like Trump.



The nationalism continuum can be integrated with the selfishness one at the point of loves all humans which is another way to say world citizen. One can then make interesting connections and draw conclusions about love and nationalism.

Those of you who have read other articles of mine may be wondering what all this has to do with market research, social intelligence, customer insights etc. Well the nice thing about continua is that you can conjure one out of nothing about almost anything. Case in point, digital transformation is something closer to home for a company with a name like ours; listening247. It was a sensible name 10 years ago to communicate specialism in digital market research; today however, when almost everything is digital, a name like this loses its meaning. It’s like calling a car a horseless carriage when in this day and age it is quite obvious that a car does not need horses to move (unlike the 1920s when Ford T1 was launched). But I digress... if you replace physical with ‘brick & mortar’ then this continuum becomes about retail, and if you replace it with ‘analogue’ it could be about equipment.

For market research, physical could mean in-person or telephone interviews, whilst digital means online surveys or unsolicited opinions found on social media using social listening tools.


Nothing easier than creating a 5 point continuum. The one below is about ways of gathering  the opinions of customers and other stakeholders. Asking questions refers to surveys and focus group discussions whilst listening refers to unsolicited posts of people online. The discipline of harvesting these posts and analysing them is what we call social intelligence and it is mainly based on machine learning models that annotate posts for topics and sentiment in an automated way.

Groups, Segments and Types of Continua

When you take some time to absorb the 6 examples shared above, you will realise that not all continua are created equal.


Here are some ways to differentiate them:

1. both extremes are bad (ahimsa fruitarian AND cannibal)

2. both extremes are acceptable (asking AND listening)

3. One extreme is really bad the other is really good (fascist Vs world citizen)

4. The mean is a combination of the extremes (asking & listening)

5. The mean is just a standalone option that has nothing to do with the extremes (vegetarian)

So what are they good for? They are philosophical tools that can help organise thought, clear the fog, visualise relationships, pinpoint and explain movements and trends.    

Living life on the Mean


Ancient Greeks believed that you should live your life choosing the mean and avoid the extremes on either side, as much as possible. Is this a good principle to follow though? If we consider the various types of continua described in the previous chapter sometimes the best choice is to adopt one of the extremes, sometimes it is indeed the mean like our ancient progenitors preached.


Thinking about moderation, can one be too much of a world citizen or too loving for all creatures?


When a continuum describes progress over time it is more likely that the most recent extreme is the best place to be. Even so, living it in moderation is probably a sound piece of advice.


I do subscribe to the notion that life is not black or white, it is mostly grey. Most of our lives are lived in the grey, only very few of us live on the extremes - sometimes by choice, but mostly not. Extremists must always be on edge, in contrast to leading a happy life, laid back, going with the flow, accepting the things they cannot control. Do let me know how you feel about continua and “pan metron ariston” @listening247_CEO or via email.


If you enjoyed reading this article you may also enjoy:
‘How does market research rank on usefulness for human life’

April 8, 2024
Blog
How Banks Can Utilize Social Media Listening to Mitigate Loan Defaults - An Early Warning System for Risk Management
Banks can leverage the power of social media listening to manage loan default risks effectively.
Michalis A. Michael and Peter Nathanial
Introduction:

In an increasingly digital world, social media platforms have transformed the way individuals connect, share information, and express opinions. Banks can leverage the power of social media listening to manage loan default risks effectively. By gathering and analysing online posts about the companies to which they have extended loans, banks can conduct continuous commercial due diligence and identify early warning signals when debtors encounter financial difficulties. This post explores how banks can utilize social media listening as a strategic tool to proactively manage loan default risks and enhance their risk management practices.

I. Understanding Social Media Listening:

Social Listening & Analytics involves monitoring and analysing online conversations, mentions, comments, and reviews across various social media platforms. It allows banks to extract valuable insights and gain real-time information about the financial health, market reputation, and business activities of the companies they have extended loans to. By employing machine learning for natural language processing techniques, banks can effectively identify potential red flags indicating financial difficulties and anticipate loan defaults.

II. Conducting Continuous Commercial Due Diligence:

A. Proactive Risk Assessment:

Traditional due diligence processes primarily focus on pre-loan assessment, often failing to capture evolving risks that borrowers may face after obtaining the loan. By incorporating social media listening into their risk management framework, banks can conduct continuous commercial monitoring in addition to their due diligence during the loan underwriting or credit extension phase. This enables them to monitor ongoing developments, industry trends, and financial indicators related to their borrowers, providing a more comprehensive risk assessment. These non-traditional indicators of credit quality and borrower’s abilities to service their debts and obligations give a much fuller picture than simple financial statements which are backward looking and often don’t provide the full story. This alternative data can also be a better predictor of borrower behaviour than historical financial statements.

B. Real-Time Insights:

Social media platforms act as virtual marketplaces where individuals freely share their experiences, opinions, and concerns. By monitoring online posts about borrower companies, banks can gain real-time insights into their operations, financial stability, customer sentiment, and market perception. Any notable shifts, negative sentiments, or concerning patterns identified through social media listening can serve as red flags, prompting banks to investigate further and take necessary actions. As we have seen recently with the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic Bank in the US, depositor sentiment played a striking role in their demise. Due to adverse online sentiment that spread very rapidly, customers and depositors caused a digital run on the bank that had never been seen or experienced before. In the case of Silicon Valley Bank, deposits were leaving at the rate of $1 million per second for 10 hours (or $41 billion).

III. Early Warning Signals:

A. Detecting Financial Difficulties:

Social media listening allows banks to identify early warning signals of potential financial difficulties faced by their borrowers. By analysing online conversations, comments, and reviews, banks can detect signs of operational challenges, supply chain disruptions, declining customer satisfaction, or negative market perception. These signals can help banks proactively engage with borrowers, assess their financial health, and take appropriate measures to prevent loan defaults.

B. Amplifying Existing Risk Indicators:

Social media listening augments traditional risk indicators with additional insights derived from user-generated content. For example, a decline in positive sentiment towards a borrower company may coincide with a decrease in revenue, an increase in customer complaints, or a deteriorating market position. By integrating social media listening into their risk management framework, banks can enhance their ability to identify and act upon early warning signals, thereby mitigating loan default risks.

“Effective Early Warning Systems (EWS) reduce loan loss provisions by 10%-20% and required regulatory capital by 10%”

Galytix paper in association with PWC

IV. Utilizing Machine Learning for Sentiment Analysis:

A. Leveraging Advanced Tools:

To effectively analyse vast amounts of online data, banks can employ machine learning and sentiment analysis tools. These tools enable banks to filter and categorize information, identify patterns and trends, and extract meaningful insights. By leveraging sentiment analysis, banks can assess the overall market sentiment towards borrowers and gauge the impact of external factors on their financial health.

B. Enhancing Risk Models:

Integrating social media listening insights into risk models can strengthen banks' loan default risk assessments. By combining traditional financial indicators with sentiment analysis and social media data, banks can improve the accuracy and predictive power of their risk models. This holistic approach allows for a more comprehensive evaluation of borrower creditworthiness and provides a deeper understanding of the potential risks associated with loan defaults.

V. Addressing Challenges and Ethical Considerations:

A. Privacy and Data Protection:

As banks engage in social media listening, it is crucial to prioritize data privacy and protection. Banks must ensure compliance with relevant data protection regulations and implement robust security measures to safeguard the information collected. Respecting user privacy, obtaining consent, and anonymizing data if necessary are essential steps to maintain ethical practices. This is of particular importance when used for due diligence and for the monitoring of individuals and their transactions, as is required of banks by Know-Your-Customer rules and regulations imposed upon them by the authorities.

B. Noise and Information Overload:

The sheer volume of online information can pose challenges in effectively filtering and interpreting relevant data. Banks can employ sophisticated filtering techniques and analytical tools to address information overload. Machine learning algorithms and natural language processing can help identify key topics or themes, prioritize relevant content, and provide actionable insights to manage loan default risks efficiently.

Conclusion:

By harnessing the power of social media listening, banks can conduct continuous commercial due diligence and effectively manage loan default risks. Monitoring online posts about borrower companies enables banks to gather real-time information, detect early warning signals, and anticipate financial difficulties. However, banks must navigate ethical considerations, prioritize data privacy, and address information overload challenges. When implemented strategically, social media listening empowers banks to proactively manage loan default risks, enhance risk management practices, and ensure more informed lending decisions.

“Banks that fail to improve their EWS will also face significant regulatory pressures. The European Central Bank (ECB) has highlighted the huge variation in the quality of early warning systems and how credit assessment at a micro as well as macro level is core to risk management and processing.”

Galytix paper in association with PWC.

June 3, 2024
Blog
Beyond GPT-4: The Distinctive Value of Text and Image Analytics in Sentiment and Topic Labelling
By employing machine learning techniques, businesses can analyse customer feedback, reviews, social media posts, and other textual data.
Michalis A. Michael

In today's fiercely competitive business landscape, companies are constantly seeking ways to gain an edge over their rivals. Among the various capabilities that contribute to success, unstructured data analytics capability stands out as indispensable for survival in the face of intense competition. This post explores the significance of text and image analytics specifically and argues that no company can thrive without harnessing the power of these capabilities. There is of course also audio and video analytics to consider but once the tech is available to analyse text and images the rest can be handled with voice-to-text and image-to-text technology. More details on this below.

Reasons that make unstructured data analytics a must for your business:

1. Uncovering Insights: Text and image analytics enable companies to extract valuable insights from vast amounts of textual and visual data. By employing sophisticated algorithms and machine learning techniques, businesses can analyse customer feedback, reviews, social media posts, and other textual data sources. This allows them to identify emerging trends, preferences, and sentiment patterns, leading to informed decision-making and strategic planning. Similarly, image analytics empowers companies to understand visual content, enabling them to recognize brand logos, product placements, and consumer behaviour from images shared on social media platforms. The ability to uncover such insights provides a competitive advantage by allowing businesses to stay ahead of the curve.

2. Enhancing Customer Experience (CX): Text and image analytics play a crucial role in enhancing the customer experience, which is a key differentiator in today's market. By leveraging these capabilities, companies can gain a deep understanding of customer needs, preferences, and pain points. Through sentiment analysis of calls, chats, emails and social media posts, businesses can assess customer satisfaction and promptly address any concerns, improving overall customer experience and loyalty. Furthermore, image analytics can identify visual cues and sentiment from images shared by customers, helping companies gain insights into how customers engage with their products or services. By proactively addressing customer needs, businesses can establish a stronger foothold in the market and build long-lasting relationships.

3. Competitive Intelligence: Text and image analytics applied on publicly available information online also serve as powerful tools for competitive intelligence. Companies can monitor competitor activities, track mentions, and analyse customer sentiment related to competitors through textual data. This information provides valuable insights into competitor strategies, product offerings, and market positioning. Similarly, image analytics can help identify visual elements associated with competitors, such as logos or brand imagery, aiding in assessing market share and brand perception. Armed with this knowledge, businesses can adjust their own strategies, differentiate their offerings, and better position themselves to gain a competitive edge.

4. Operational Efficiency and Risk Mitigation: Text and image analytics contribute to operational efficiency by automating processes that would otherwise be time-consuming and error prone. For instance, text analytics can automate the categorization and tagging of large volumes of textual data, reducing manual effort, and improving data accuracy. Similarly, image analytics can automate the identification and classification of visual content, streamlining tasks such as quality control or identifying counterfeit products. By improving operational efficiency, companies can reduce costs, optimize resource allocation, and respond quickly to market demands, ensuring survival in a competitive environment.

Voice-to-text, Image-to-text and LLMs (Large Language Models):

At listening247, we leverage voice-to-text and image-to-text technology to efficiently process all forms of unstructured data through our social listening and analytics platform platform. This enables us to label the data with custom machine learning models, ensuring the highest possible accuracy, regardless of the original language. In contrast, some vendors offering multilingual text labelling solutions rely on translating everything to English before labelling, which is not an optimal or accurate approach.

Lately, many individuals have inquired about how the listening247 sentiment and topic labelling approach compares to GPT-4 or Bard. The answer is: the listening247 approach is unequivocally better. For a less biased and more objective perspective, I encourage you to refer to this paper. Here is an excerpt from the paper summary:

“The preliminary study shows that ChatGPT and GPT-4 struggle on tasks such as financial named entity recognition (NER) and sentiment analysis, where domain-specific knowledge is required, while they excel in numerical reasoning tasks.”

This subject deserves its own article with a proper gap analysis between LLMs and the proprietary and custom ML models that listening247 creates.

Conclusion:


Text, voice and image analytics have become indispensable capabilities for any company striving to survive and thrive amidst fierce competition. The ability to extract insights, enhance the customer experience, gain competitive intelligence, and improve operational efficiency makes these capabilities vital for success. Companies that neglect to harness the power of unstructured data analytics will find themselves at a significant disadvantage, missing out on crucial insights, falling behind competitors, and failing to meet evolving customer expectations. Therefore, to remain competitive in the modern business landscape, organizations must prioritize the adoption and utilization of text, audio and image analytics to secure their long-term survival.

This statement, which I have shared numerous times in previous articles, encapsulates the essence:

“Over 90% of all human knowledge recorded throughout history exists in the form of unstructured data. If your company solely focuses on analyzing and comprehending structured data, it implies that you are utilizing less than 10% of the available data to inform your decision-making processes.”

May 6, 2024
Blog
AI: the best invention since sliced bread?
The pace of change will never be this slow again.
Michalis Michael
Just like every other buzzword, it means different things to different people. Is there a simple definition of AI that everyone can understand? You bet! AI can be classified as weak or strong AI.Weak AIThe majority of current AI use cases - such as social intelligence using text analytics (NLP) - fall under weak AI. It usually involves supervised machine learning, though we are increasingly seeing use cases where semi- or unsupervised machine learning is being used. For the time being, let’s define (weak) AI with this simple formula:
Strong AI
Strong, full or general AI is something different. For most people it is defined by Alan Turing’s test whereby according to Wikipedia “A machine and a human both converse sight unseen with a second human, who must evaluate which of the two is the machine, which passes the test if it can fool the evaluator a significant fraction of the time”. The optimists among pundits claim it will be with us in 10-15 years from now, the pessimists say by 2100.
Some people talk about machines with consciousness. To paraphrase the well known author Yuval Noah Harari: a taxi driver needs to only take us from A to B, we are not interested in how he feels about the latest Trump news or the sunset; thus an autonomous car has a good enough AI to do the job without needing to feel or having a consciousness. The same applies to so many other aspects of work and life. Will machines ever be able to feel? Is that necessary for strong Ai to exist?
AI’s impact on humanity
“Two billion people will be unemployed by 2050.”

“Humanity is in danger of being taken over by machines”
“This could spell the end of the human race” said the late Stephen Hawking. Elon Musk and Bill Gates are also often quoted expressing a similar opinion. The flipside of the coin is that humanity should choose to see a positive version of the future, and then strive to make it happen. Rather than worrying about unemployment, we should be looking forward to spending more time on the beach, pursuing our passions and hobbies to perfection. I dream of days philosophising in a circle of close friends (also fellow philosophers) about the meaning of life… and not just human life as this has been covered by Plato, Aristotle and others; maybe we will be focussing on the lives of robots who can fall in love, or superhumans with chips in their brains that are “a-mortal” - as opposed to immortal (stuff for another blog post).
Doing market research using AI is a close second to philosophising.
Universal Basic Income (UBI)
The best idea floating around when it comes to managing unemployment brought on by the impact of AI is the UBI. Having said that, being the best idea so far does not necessarily make it a great idea. Too many people with some means and lots of time on their hands may ultimately become a curse for humanity. Possible outcomes include:
  • Boredom to death - people may literally commit suicide due to not having a good enough reason to get out of bed every day
  • Resentment towards AI or the rich (or both):
    • Criminality may rise
    • Terrorism incidents may become more frequent
    • A movement could start against corporations - a revolution
  • Increase in radical religious movements - as people will have more free time
  • A couple of rather positive ones:
    • Renaissance of the arts
    • The return of full time philosophers (i.e. my friends and I)

What exactly is AI?

Artificial intelligence for text and image analytics has been around for years, and DigitalMR has been carrying out R&D for the social intelligence use case since 2012. Strangely, we haven’t yet published our view on the impact that AI will have on humanity in the near to medium term future. It is time to rectify this!

Ethical and Legal Framework

We need new laws and we need to figure out what moral compass we want to ingrain in the autonomous machines of the future - if that is at all possible.

We want to ideally avoid scenarios described in science fiction films such as Ex Machina and I, Robot.

As per Isaac Asimov’s laws about robots from the previous century:
•  A robot may not injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm.
•  A robot must obey the orders given to it by human beings, except where such orders would conflict with the First Law.
•  A robot must protect its own existence as long as such protection does not conflict with the First or Second Laws.
At a first glance they seem reasonable; he certainly thought that if these principles were to be applied, humanity would be safe from destruction by AI powered machines.
Apparently he is wrong.

What we will need is machine ethics for super-intelligence, and the laws or principles cannot be chauvinistic as Asimov’s are. Humans cannot realistically expect to be the boss of machines that are a million times smarter than them.
The Singularity Moment
Ray Kurzweil the author of The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology predicts that the singularity moment will happen around 2045. Ray said in his book:

“I regard someone who understands the Singularity and who has reflected on its implications for his or her own life as a ‘singularitarian’.”

I guess thinking about and writing this article - I will not claim I understand the Singularity - may make me a singularitarian! What do you think?

There is an impressive and humbling definition of this moment that I heard from a fellow YPO member, who among other things is the Executive Director of Singularity University Germany, Nikolaus Weil, at a CEO (organisation) recruitment event:

I will paraphrase but the gist is: “It is the moment in time at which machines will acquire the same knowledge and capability as the whole of humanity and in the next 5 minutes by continually improving themselves will become millions of times smarter than humans”.
AI = Augmented Intelligence
Some people like to challenge the notion of artificial intelligence so they decided to give the acronym AI a new interpretation namely “Augmented Intelligence”.

Vernor Vinge came up with these 4 options of the singularity manifestation:
The development of computers that are "awake" and superhumanly intelligent.Large computer networks (and their associated users) may "wake up" as a superhumanly intelligent entity.Computer/human interfaces may become so intimate that users may reasonably be considered superhumanly intelligent.Biological science may find ways to improve upon the natural human intellect.[9]
Options 3 and 4 may involve the augmentation of human intelligence to a superintelligence.

The problem with these two options is that only super rich people will be able to afford them; thus ending up with some serious inequality issues between new castes or should we say new breeds of humans.  

I think this article is running away from me. It feels like one thing leads to another, one thought to the next; there is no end and I feel like getting a beer,so I will end it - abruptly - here.

My fitbit is asking me to start preparing to go to bed … futurism is a very tiresome business!
July 1, 2024

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